Andrea, just a suggestion. You should add to your frontpage probabilities what would be Obama's winning pct. in case he loses New Hampshire (and possibly also that of other combinations which include NH). Looking e.g. at RealClearPolitics one can easily check that in the "no toss up" count of electoral votes, which has been stuck at Obama 273 - McCain 265 for at least a month, shifting NH (= 4 EVs) from Obama to McCain would cause a draw at 269 (Nancy Pelosi would then decice!). Note that the polls give NH alternatively to one or the other, depending on the source.

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